Okay, okay, I just have trouble making up my mind on this one. That and the fact that new information keeps reaching me. Two things are making me change yet again. First of all, it seems clear to me that the FNM is not pushing hard for this seat. Their base voters will support the party's candidate, but there isn't a strong push for the floating voters. I think it's clear that they would rather Mr. Bastian retain his seat than the PLP win it, but don't want to do what the PLP did in Long Island and Bamboo Town which is to simply not run anyone. They probably don't want to be tied too closely to Bastian because his reputation is not that great - smart, really.
Also, from my man on the ground, Bastian signs, T-shirts and flags are everywhere. Posters don't vote, but people wearing T-shirts and flying flags do. The PLP should be able to win this seat. I would think that they NEED to win this seat this time. But I don't think they will.
Ranking: LEAN INDEPENDENT
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1 comment:
I tend to agree with you on this one. It will be interesting to see which side (if any) that he will side with after the Gov't is formed.
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