LONG ISLAND

FNM: Larry Cartwright

IND: James Miller

Long Island was two seats until 1992 and has always been strongly FNM. The PLP won the seat in the North (Deadman’s Cay) in 1977 and held it until for three elections, but in ’92 it was overwhelmed by the FNM south. South Long Island (Clarence Town), by the way, is the only place in the Out Islands never to be represented by the PLP. Jimmy Knowles held Clarence Town for the FNM from 1977 onwards until 2002. The PLP saw no point contesting the seat and left it to an independent; Mr. Larry Cartwright who was also FNM and felt that he should have gotten the nomination instead of Mr. Knowles. He got the PLP votes and enough FNM votes to capture the seat from Mr. Knowles but has lately rejoined the FNM. In something of a repeat from 2002, he faces Mr. Miller, the FNM’s former MP for Cat Island and former candidate for the Deadman’s Cay seat.

The PLP never had a chance here and they knew it, preferring not to waste time and money. Mr. Miller has some support, to be sure, and will probably get whatever PLP votes there are, but this is unlikely to be enough to overcome Mr. Cartwright.

Rating: LIKELY FNM