NORTH ELEUTHERA

FNM: Alvin Smith

PLP: Christfeild Johnson

Until 1997, Eleuthera was three seats. The FNM held the northern seat every time except for ’82 when the PLP won in by less than 20 votes. The central and south had gone PLP, though not often by huge margins. When the central seat was divided between the north and the south, this didn’t much change the equation in the north despite the fact that the PLP stronghold of Alice Town was now there. The FNM held the seat in ’97 and again in ’02 – one of only three seats in the Out Islands that they retained (the other two being on Abaco). Nothing has happened that would suggest the PLP has improved their position here. The fact that they took so long to name a candidate shows their weakness.

Rating : LIKELY FNM