SOUTH ELEUTHERA

PLP: Oswald Ingraham

FNM: Johnley Ferguson

Comprising all of the old Rock Sound seat and half of the Governor’s Harbour seat, the FNM first saw success in this seat in 1992. Rock Sound had always been a marginal PLP seat; usually it was their big margins in Greencastle that put them over the top. In '92, Rock Sound was the only Out Island seat that the FNM actually picked up as their candidate was from Greencastle and got enough votes there to win. The FNM wave in ’97 was more than enough to hold the seat despite the addition of new voters from the center seat, but the PLP counter-wave in ’02 knocked them out again. This race pits the incumbent Mr. Ingraham, the Speaker of the House, against Mr. Ferguson, the FNM’s unsuccessful ‘02 candidate for the MICAL seat.

In the Out Islands, incumbents from the governing party have more of an advantage then in Nassau as they can give away election time jobs to undecided voters. This has been going on for years and anyone in the islands can tell you. The FNM has to do some serious work to win this seat, in particular winning big in Rock Sound and Tarpum Bay. Right now the advantage has to be with the incumbent.

Rating: LEANING PLP