CHARMICHAEL

PLP: John Carey
FNM: Desmond Bannister

In 2002, I was more impressed with the campaign of Mr. Carey than I was of Mr. Bannister. All the same it was close - Mr. Carey actually got just less then 50% of the votes with the independents making the difference. That was with the PLP wave - Mr. Carey cannot count on that carrying him this time. Has he done a good job as an MP? Only his constituents can answer that - the reports I get are mixed, but you can't allways tell from the noise in the marketplace as everyone knows.

This seat in it's current form was created in 1987 when the PLP won by a small margin. The FNM took it in 92 and 97 so it's another suburban swing seat. But it's one that I think has a slight FNM advantage - especially given that the boundary cuts have moved it a bit further west. If FNM chairman Mr. Bannister has done his work in the seat rather than just speaking at rallies, he should capture this seat.

Ranking: LEAN FNM