GARDEN HILLS

PLP: Veronica Owens
FNM: Brensil Rolle

This seat keeps getting pushed westward. From where it was in 1992 to where it is now, there is no overlap - if you threw down the old Garden Hills seat on the map the two would not even touch. That means that you have to look at the polling divisions that make up the seat as it exists now. Since '02, the seat has lost a PLP polling division to Englerston, Mount Moriah and St. Celilia. That's a margin that the PLP can ill afford to give up here, especially since they moved toward the FNM west. As I have said elsewhere, you have to work a suburban seat to win it, but if the FNM candidate has done his job, he should be the next MP for this area.

A question - what does 'Garden Hills' refer to? If the seat included an area known as Garden Hills in 92, it cannot include them now. Not that this ever stopped people - and the seat of Blue Hills does not currently include the Blue Hills, either.

Ranking: LEAN FNM