ELIZABETH

PLP: Malcolm Adderly

FNM: Elma Campbell

The FNM ran up some good numbers in this seat in '92 and '97 but if you look at '87 it wasn't that close and of course, '02 was a PLP blowout. The lines have changes a little bit, but not in any substantive way. Because Elizabeth Estates is in the seat, the PLP has a good base to start from, something the FNM really lacks. They have shown that they can win it, but they will have to fight for every single vote and the other side has a head start. Better run hard if you want to catch up, Ms. Campbell

Ranking: LEAN PLP