KENNEDY

PLP: Kenyatta Gibson
FNM: Michael Turnquest

I thought the FNM had this one in the bag in '02 - they had come so close in '97 and they were facing a PLP split in the seat. In fact, the boudary cuts for this particular constituency had favored the PLP and Dr. Nottage (running for his new CDR party) was unable to mount a serious challenge. It hasn't changed a great deal - they did cut out one little PLP area to throw into Seabreeze and moved the western boundary to East Street, but this still looks like a PLP seat to me. They were able to hold it even during the FNM's wave in '97 and since then it's been made more PLP. I'd be shocked to see the FNM pull this one off.

Ranking: LIKELY PLP