PLP: Alfred Sears
FNM: Michael Barnett
I looked at looked at this seat. Other than the fact that they won it in '02, I can't find much good news for the PLP. The boundaries have not changed much - one little sliver that got put into Killarney - but all the numbers seem to put the FNM in the driver's seat. They very nearly won it in '87 and did take it in '92 (when it was called St. Agnes and was actually more PLP). As the seat has been shifted further west, there's no real inner city areas left thus the PLP has no base polling divisions to start with. I think Mr. Sears is in real trouble here - he's going to need a strong PLP wind at his back to keep from getting knocked over and I don't see him getting it.
Ranking: LIKELY FNM
1 comment:
This will definitely be one of the major upsets. Both men are experienced in their profession.
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